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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ecpolicy</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Экономическая политика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economic Policy</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1994-5124</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2411-2658</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Economic Policy</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.18288/1994-5124-2022-6-8-39</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">ecpolicy-44</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Внешнеэкономические шоки и инфляция в условиях финансовой репрессии</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Exogenous Shocks and Inflation Under Conditions of Financial Repression</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6625-0238</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пак</surname><given-names>Е. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pak</surname><given-names>Y. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Евгения Александровна Пак, аспирант департамента теоретической экономики</p><p>109028, Москва, Покровский бул., 11</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Yevgenia A. Pak, Postgraduate Student of the Department of Theoretical Economics</p><p>11, Pokrovskiy bul., Moscow, 109028</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">epak@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0528-508X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пекарский</surname><given-names>С. Э.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pekarski</surname><given-names>S. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Сергей Эдмундович Пекарский, кандидат экономических наук, профессор департамента теоретической экономики</p><p>109028, Москва, Покровский бул., 11</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Sergey E. Pekarski, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Professor of the Department of Theoretical Economics</p><p>11, Pokrovskiy bul., Moscow, 109028</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">spekarski@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>National Research University Higher School of Economics</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>12</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>17</volume><issue>6</issue><fpage>8</fpage><lpage>39</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Пак Е.А., Пекарский С.Э., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Пак Е.А., Пекарский С.Э.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Pak Y.A., Pekarski S.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.ecpolicy.ru/jour/article/view/44">https://www.ecpolicy.ru/jour/article/view/44</self-uri><abstract><p>Финансовая репрессия подразумевает искажающее воздействие политики государства на работу финансового сектора. В ряде эмпирических работ, рассматривающих финансовую репрессию, отмечается ее негативное влияние на экономический рост через снижение инвестиционной активности в экономике. Однако вопрос воздействия финансовой репрессии на инфляционные процессы ранее был слабо изучен. Настоящая работа рассматривает реакцию инфляции и других макроэкономических показателей на шок нефтяных цен при наличии и в отсутствие финансовой репрессии. Влияя на потребление домашних хозяйств, финансовая репрессия усиливает реакцию инфляции на внешние шоки. В статье строится стандартная DSGE-модель малой экспортирующей экономики с включением финансовой репрессии. Финансовая репрессия рассматривается в форме фиксации государством процентных ставок для определенной доли кредитов, доступных домохозяйствам. Модель калибруется для экономики Казахстана, где директивный контроль процентных ставок охватывает более 20% кредитного рынка. Однако калибровка и структура модели типичны для экспортирующих экономик, поэтому выводы качественно применимы для экспортирующих экономик в целом. Модель демонстрирует, что финансовая репрессия усиливает влияние внешних шоков не только на инфляцию, но и на выпуск, занятость, эффективную процентную ставку. Полученные результаты являются важными с точки зрения координации макроэкономической политики. Они позволяют сделать вывод, что политика финансовой репрессии со стороны правительства препятствует эффективному инфляционному таргетированию центрального банка. При этом под эффективностью инфляционного таргетирования понимается способность ЦБ при одном и том же инструментальном правиле Тейлора обеспечивать наименьшую волатильность инфляции.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Financial repression refers to the distorting effect of certain government policies on the operation of the financial sector. Several empirical studies of financial repression point out that financial repression retards economic growth by decreasing investment activity in the economy, but the impact of financial repression on inflationary processes has not been adequately studied. This paper examines how inflation and other macroeconomic indicators would respond to an oil price shock when financial repression is or is not in place. Financial repression affects household consumption, and that increases the inflationary response to external shocks. The article constructs a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small exporting economy operating under financial repression. The financial repression takes the form of a government cap on interest rates for a certain proportion of loans available to households. The model is calibrated to resemble the economy of Kazakhstan, where the policy rate for lending applies to more than 20% of the credit market. However, the calibration and structure of the model are broadly typical of exporting economies, and the conclusions drawn from the model are therefore qualitatively applicable to exporting economies in general. The model demonstrates that financial repression increases the impact of external shocks not only on inflation, but also on output, employment, and the effective interest rate. When the effectiveness of a central bank’s ability to maintain inflation targets with minimal volatility is judged according to the Taylor Rule, these results imply that financial repression makes it more difficult for central banks to reach that goal.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>финансовая репрессия</kwd><kwd>монетарная политика</kwd><kwd>инфляционное таргетирование</kwd><kwd>льготное кредитование</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>financial repression</kwd><kwd>monetary policy</kwd><kwd>inflation targeting</kwd><kwd>concessional lending</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Андреев М. Ю., Полбин А. В. Исследование эффекта финансового акселератора в DSGE модели с описанием производства экспортного продукта // Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации. 2019. № 4. 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