The Value of a Statistical Life: Estimates Based on the Concept of Human Capital
https://doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2021-6-94-119
Abstract
Despite the fact that the life of a particular person does not have a direct cost, the issues of economic feasibility of financing programs aimed at reducing risks to the life and health of individuals, as well as regulation of markets to ensure the safety of citizens, are closely related to the concept of the value of statistical life. This value reflects the willingness of individuals to pay for reducing risks to their own life and health, and is used by economists when analyzing the costs and benefits of policymakers’ decisions. The systematic methodology for calculating the value of statistical life is especially important due to the current transition to risk-oriented regulation, one of the most fundamental principles of which is to take into account potential damage both when establishing mandatory legal requirements aimed at protecting life and health of citizens, and when assessing compensation for damage caused in judicial practice. The article provides an overview of the existing methods of statistical life evaluation. Using an econometric analysis of Rosstat data on wages and fatal injuries, the value of statistical life in Russia was evaluated at 15.8 and 26.3 million rubles, depending on the specification used. The alternative approaches to obtaining the monetary equivalent of human life in Russia are presented: the value of life is calculated using the lost income method; also, information on the monetary compensations for relatives of the victims in Russian legislation is analyzed. The limitations of the above methods of life evaluation are discussed, and so are problematic issues associated with the implementation of the study results in public policy, especially in the field of control and supervisory regulation.
Keywords
JEL: J17, J31, C33
About the Authors
Anastasia I. KosyakinaRussian Federation
Anastasia I. KOSYAKINA
82, Vernadskogo pr., Moscow, 119571
Ekaterina A. Ponomareva
Russian Federation
Ekaterina A. PONOMAREVA, Cand. Sci. (Econ.). Institute for Control and Supervision
82, Vernadskogo pr., Moscow, 119571
References
1. Bessonov V. A. O dinamike sovokupnoy faktornoy proizvoditel’nosti v rossiyskoy perekhodnoy ekonomike [On the Dynamics of Total Factor Productivity in the Russian Economy in Transition]. Ekonomicheskiy zhurnal VShE [HSE Economic Journal], 2004, vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 542-587. (In Russ.)
2. Zubets A. N., Novikov A.V. Chislennaya otsenka stoimosti zhizni cheloveka v Rossii i v mire [Quantitative Assessment of the Value of Human life in Russia and in the World]. Finansy: teoriya i praktika [Finance: Theory and Practice], 2018, vol. 22, no. 4, pp. 52-75. (In Russ.)
3. Prokhorov B. B., Shmakov D. I. Otsenka stoimosti statisticheskoy zhizni i ekonomicheskogo ushcherba ot poter’ zdorov’ya [Evaluation of the Value of Statistical Life and Economic Damage from Health Losses]. Problemy prognozirovaniya [Studies on Russian Economic Development], 2002, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 125-135. (In Russ.)
4. Ustinova K. A. Analiz vliyaniya urovnya obrazovaniya na zarabotnuyu platu rabotayushchikh: territorial’nyy aspekt [Analysis of the impact of the level of education on the wages of workers: territorial aspect]. Problemy sovremennoy ekonomiki [Problems of Modern Economy], 2012, vol. 42, no. 2, pp. 76-82. (In Russ.)
5. Ashenfelter O., Greenstone M. Using Mandated Speed Limits to Measure the Value of a Statistical Life. Journal of Political Economy, 2004, vol. 112, no. S1, pp. S226-267. DOI:10.1086/379932.
6. Cardoso D. S., Dahis R. Value of a Statistical Life Under Large Mortality Risk Change: Theory and an Application to COVID-19, 2020. https://www.ricardodahis.com/papers/CD_VSL.pdf.
7. Cutler D. M., Summers L. H. The COVID-19 Pandemic and the $16 Trillion Virus. Jama, 2020, vol. 324, no. 15, pp. 1495-1496. DOI:10.1001/jama.2020.19759.
8. Dardis R. The Value of a Life: New Evidence from the Marketplace. The American Economic Review, 1980, vol. 70, no. 5, pp. 1077-1082.
9. Douglas P. H. Are There Laws of Production? The American Economic Review, 1948, vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 1-41.
10. Douglas P. H. Theory of wages. New York, MacMillan Company, 1934.
11. Dreyfus M. K., Viscusi W. K. Rates of Time Preference and Consumer Valuations of Automobile Safety and Fuel Efficiency. The Journal of Law and Economics, 1995, vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 79-105.
12. Goldin C. D., Lewis F. D. The Economic Cost of the American Civil War: Estimates and Implications. The Journal of Economic History, 1975, vol. 35, no. 2, pp. 299-326.
13. Ippolito P. M., Ippolito R. A. Measuring the Value of Life Saving from Consumer Reactions to New Information. Journal of Public Economics, 1984, vol. 25, no. 1-2, pp. 53-81.
14. Kiker B. F., Birkeli J. Human Capital Losses Resulting from U.S. Casualties of the War in Vietnam. Journal of Political Economy, 1972, vol. 80, no. 5, pp. 1023-1030.
15. Kirigia J. M., Mburugu G. N. The Monetary Value of Human Lives Lost Due to Neglected Tropical Diseases in Africa. Infectious Diseases of Poverty, 2017, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 1-16. DOI:doi.org/10.1186/s40249-017-0379-y.
16. Kniesner T. J., Viscusi W. K. The Value of a Statistical Life, 2019. https://law.vanderbilt.edu/phd/faculty/w-kip-viscusi/368_Value_of_Statistical_Life_Oxford.pdf. DOI:10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.138.
17. Kniesner T. J., Viscusi W. K., Woock C., Ziliak J. P. The Value of a Statistical Life: Evidence from Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2012, vol. 94, no. 1, рр. 74-87. DOI:10.1162/REST_a_00229.
18. Lindhjem H., Navrud S., Braathen N. A., Biausque V. Valuing Mortality Risk Reductions from Environmental, Transport, and Health Policies: A Global Meta‐Analysis of Stated Preference Studies. Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 2011, vol. 31, no. 9, pp. 1381-1407. DOI:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01694.x.
19. Majumder A., Madheswaran S. Compensation for Occupational Risk and Valuation of Statistical Life. Social Indicators Research, 2020, vol. 149, pp. 967-989. DOI:10.1007/s11205-020-02269-z.
20. Masterman C. J., Viscusi W. K. Income Elasticities and Global Values of a Statistical Life. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2017, vol. 8, no. 2, рр. 226-250. DOI:10.1017/bca.2017.12.
21. Masterman C. J., Viscusi W. K. The Income Elasticity of Global Values of a Statistical Life: Stated Preference Evidence. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2018, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 407-434. DOI:10.1017/bca.2018.20.
22. Mincer J. Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution. Journal of Political Economy, 1958, vol. 66, no. 4, pp. 281-302.
23. Mishan E. J. Evaluation of Life and Limb: A Theoretical Approach. Journal of Political Economy, 1971, vol. 79, no. 4, pp. 687-705.
24. Mon E., Jomnonkwao S., Khampirat B., Satiennam W., Ratanavaraha V. Willingness to Pay for Mortality Risk Reduction for Traffic Accidents in Myanmar. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2018, vol. 118, no. 65, pp. 18-28. DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2018.05.018.
25. Moore M. J., Viscusi W. K. Compensation Mechanisms for Job Risks: Wages, Workers’ Compensation, and Product Liability. Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2014.
26. Obermeyer A., Hirte G. Willingness to Pay for Road Safety: A Conceptual Study and Pilot Survey for Germany: Conference Paper, 59th ERSA Congress, Lyon, France, 2019, Аugust 27-30. https://az659834.vo.msecnd.net/eventsairwesteuprod/production-ersa-public/0f7e91780e1a4c598fe03fdfb0fbf630.
27. Pereira R. M., Almeida A. N., Oliveira C. A. O valor estatístico de uma vida: estimativas para o Brasil. Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 2020, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 227-259. DOI:10.1590/0101-41615022rac. (In Portuguese)
28. Reynolds D. J. The Cost of Road Accidents. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (General), 1956, vol. 119, no. 4, pp. 393-408.
29. Rosen S. Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition. Journal of Political Economy, 1974, vol. 82, no. 1, pp. 34-55.
30. Schelling T. C. The Life You Save May Be Your Own. In: Chase S. B. (ed.). Problems in Public Expenditure Analysis. Washington, DC, Brookings Institution, 1968, pp. 127-162.
31. Thaler R., Rosen S. The Value of Saving a Life: Evidence from the Labor Market. In: Terleckyj N. E. (ed.). Household Production and Consumption. New York, NY, Columbia University Press, 1976, pp. 265-302.
32. Viscusi W. K., Aldy J. E.The Value of a Statistical Life: A Critical Review of Market Estimates Throughout the World. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2003, vol. 27, no. 1, pp. 5-76.
33. Watts E., Sim S. Y., Constenla D., Sriudomporn S., Brenzel L., Patenaude B. Economic Benefits of Immunization for 10 Pathogens in 94 Low- and Middle-Income Countries from 2011 to 2030 Using Cost-of-Illness and Value-of-Statistical-Life Approaches. Value in Health, 2020, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 78-85. DOI:10.1016/j.jval.2020.07.009.
34. Wilson L. Estimating the Value of Statistical Life (VSL) Losses from COVID-19 Infections in the United States, 2020. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3580414.
Review
For citations:
Kosyakina A.I., Ponomareva E.A. The Value of a Statistical Life: Estimates Based on the Concept of Human Capital. Economic Policy. 2021;16(6):94-119. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2021-6-94-119